Biden, Trump deadlocked in national survey

Donald Trump Joe Biden April 2024

President Biden and former President Trump are tied in a new national survey about six months out from Election Day.

The USA Today/Suffolk University poll found that Biden and Trump each received about 37 percent support among registered voters. An additional 12 percent said they remain undecided.

Third-party and independent candidates also received some support when voters were asked who they would vote for if the election was held today. Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 8 percent of support in the new poll, while about 5 percent of voters chose other third-party or independent candidates.

The poll also found that voters’ minds are not totally made up six months out from the election. Twenty-four percent of all respondents, including 43 percent of independent voters, said that it’s possible for their minds to change before ballots are cast in November.

Pollsters noted Biden and Trump received similar shares of support among independents, with Trump receiving 27 percent and Biden receiving 26 percent. USA Today noted that Biden’s support among independents increased 5 points in its national poll since it was last taken in January, while Trump lost 4 points.

USA Today also said that Biden has made small gains in its national poll since January, when Trump had a narrow 3-point lead. Additionally, the news outlet said that Biden’s support among Black voters jumped 7 points since January to 64 percent of support while Trump’s has remained the same at 12 percent.

The poll was conducted using live telephone interviews among 1,000 registered voters between April 30 to May 3 and has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

Many other national polls also show a close race between the two frontrunners. The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s national polling average of a head-to-head matchup shows both Biden and Trump each receiving about 45 percent support.

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