The total emissions for the year are projected at 41.6 billion metric tons, an increase of 1 billion metric tons from 2023, according to the research.
Much of the increase has been driven by increased emissions from both fossil fuel use and changes in land use, such as deforestation. Extensive drought conditions have compounded these emissions by increasing the output from deforestation and forest fires.
The report indicated that emissions from each of the categories of fuel responsible for most emissions increased. Coal-related emissions, which comprise 41 percent of all fossil-fuel emissions, are projected to increase 0.2 percent in 2024, while oil emissions, which represent 32 percent of emissions, will increase an estimated 0.9 percent, and gas, which represents 21 percent of emissions, are projected to grow 2.4 percent. Researchers noted that the final numbers could represent a decrease in coal emissions.
Broken down by the three countries responsible for the largest share of emissions, China’s emissions are expected to increase by 0.2 percent, although like coal emissions, the range of possibilities includes a decrease. U.S. emissions are projected to fall 0.6 percent, while India’s emissions are projected to grow by 4.6 percent.
The report comes against the backdrop of the COP29 United Nations climate summit in Azerbaijan, the final summit of President Biden’s term. Biden, who attended the meeting in 2021 and 2022, is not attending for the second consecutive year, nor is Vice President Harris, who attended in 2023.
Read more at TheHill.com.
